This is a very good question - a common concern for embedded developers. Unfortunately, most embedded developers aren't as concerned as you are and only test the code on real hardware. But as another answer pointed out, this can basically test just the nominal functionality of the code and not the corner/error cases.
There is no single and simple solution to this problem. Some guidelines and techniques exist, however, to do a relatively good job.
First, separate your code into layers. One layer should be "hardware agnostic" - i.e. function calls. Do not ask the user to write into HW registers directly. The other (lower) layer deals with the HW. This layer can be "mocked" in order to test the higher level. The lower level can not be really tested without the HW, but it's not going to change often and needs deep HW integration, so it's not an issue.
A "test harness" will be all your high-level HW agnostic code with a "fake" lower level specifically for testing. This can simulate the HW devices for correct and incorrect functionality and thus allow you to run automated tests on the PC.
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