Welcome to OGeek Q&A Community for programmer and developer-Open, Learning and Share
Welcome To Ask or Share your Answers For Others

Categories

0 votes
766 views
in Technique[技术] by (71.8m points)

numpy - Start, End and Duration of Maximum Drawdown in Python

Given a time series, I want to calculate the maximum drawdown, and I also want to locate the beginning and end points of the maximum drawdown so I can calculate the duration. I want to mark the beginning and end of the drawdown on a plot of the timeseries like this:

a busy cat

So far I've got code to generate a random time series, and I've got code to calculate the max drawdown. If anyone knows how to identify the places where the drawdown begins and ends, I'd really appreciate it!

import pandas as pd
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
import numpy as np

# create random walk which I want to calculate maximum drawdown for:

T = 50
mu = 0.05
sigma = 0.2
S0 = 20
dt = 0.01
N = round(T/dt)
t = np.linspace(0, T, N)
W = np.random.standard_normal(size = N) 
W = np.cumsum(W)*np.sqrt(dt) ### standard brownian motion ###
X = (mu-0.5*sigma**2)*t + sigma*W 

S = S0*np.exp(X) ### geometric brownian motion ###
plt.plot(S)

# Max drawdown function      

def max_drawdown(X):
    mdd = 0
    peak = X[0]
    for x in X:
        if x > peak: 
            peak = x
        dd = (peak - x) / peak
        if dd > mdd:
            mdd = dd
    return mdd    

drawSeries = max_drawdown(S)
MaxDD = abs(drawSeries.min()*100)
print MaxDD


plt.show()
See Question&Answers more detail:os

与恶龙缠斗过久,自身亦成为恶龙;凝视深渊过久,深渊将回以凝视…
Welcome To Ask or Share your Answers For Others

1 Reply

0 votes
by (71.8m points)

Just find out where running maximum minus current value is largest:

n = 1000
xs = np.random.randn(n).cumsum()
i = np.argmax(np.maximum.accumulate(xs) - xs) # end of the period
j = np.argmax(xs[:i]) # start of period

plt.plot(xs)
plt.plot([i, j], [xs[i], xs[j]], 'o', color='Red', markersize=10)

drawdown


与恶龙缠斗过久,自身亦成为恶龙;凝视深渊过久,深渊将回以凝视…
OGeek|极客中国-欢迎来到极客的世界,一个免费开放的程序员编程交流平台!开放,进步,分享!让技术改变生活,让极客改变未来! Welcome to OGeek Q&A Community for programmer and developer-Open, Learning and Share
Click Here to Ask a Question

...