I've done both lately, I would take MVC nine times out of ten.
- I really dislike the implementation of the asp.net ajax controls, I've run into a lot of issues with timing, events, and debugging postback issues. I learned a lot from http://encosia.com/2007/07/11/why-aspnet-ajax-updatepanels-are-dangerous/
- The asp.net project we used the MVP pattern http://www.codeplex.com/aspnetmvp, and the pattern worked great. However we ended up with a lot of code in the view because we were directly interacting with the server side controls (i.e a lot of gridview manipulations). This code is nearly untestable with the unit test frameworks. We should have been more diligent about keeping code out of the view, but in some instances it was just easier and less messy.
The one time I would choose using asp.net forms development would be to use the gridview control. We are using jquery for our javascript framework with MVC and have not yet found a very good gridview like control. We have something that is functional, but the amount of time we have sunk into learning, tweaking, and debugging it vs using asp.net server side controls has been substantial. One looses all of the nice widgets Microsoft provides out of the box doing non asp.net form development. The loss of those widgets is freeing, and scary at the same time when you first start.
At the end of the day I'm happy we are doing MVC development. My team and I have learned a new framework, (we were only asp.net developers before), and have gotten our hands dirty with html and javascript. These are skills we can take onto other projects or other languages if we ever need to.
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